Prediction Agents
Prediction Agents give you a calibrated probability for a yes-or-no question, from your own prompt in Claude or ChatGPT.
Ask with the /predict skill. The assistant researches the question, a panel of Chronulus experts estimates it, and you get a probability, a confidence interval and each expert's reasoning.
Outcome Prediction
Our outcome prediction agent analyzes and answers Yes/No and True/False questions. It also supports multi-outcome predictions for mutually exclusive events.
Features
A calibrated probability with a confidence interval around it
A written explanation from each of 2 to 30 expert agents
Both sides of a head-to-head question, which cancels order bias
Questions with several outcomes, reconciled into one consistent set of probabilities
Forecasting Agents
Forecasting Agents provide time series forecasts of a thing or concept over a horizon you define, from your own prompt in Claude or ChatGPT.
Describe what you want to forecast with the /forecast skill. The assistant researches the question, the Chronulus agent forecasts it, and you get a plotted series with the reasoning behind it.
Cold-Start, Seasonal Forecasting
Our normalized seasonal forecasting agent analyzes your cold-start task to provide actionable estimates of seasonality and trend over the forecast horizon you define.
Common Cold-Start Tasks
- » New Product Demand Forecasting
- » Infrastructure Investment Demand Planning
- » Staffing and Capacity Planning
Features
Every forecast comes with a written explanation of the factors behind it
Hourly (up to 168 hours), daily (365 days), weekly (260 weeks) and monthly (120 months) frequencies
Rescale into real units such as pedestrians, units or dollars
Forecast ahead, estimate a historical trend, or nowcast the present
Build Together
Explore, build, and predict with like-minded builders and forecasters.